Championship · 2025MKM Stadium

Hull City 2–1 Leicester City · Championship

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hull City won 2–1.

Expected goals
1.521.48

Full time

What the match recorded

Hull City beat Leicester City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Hull City – Leicester City): expected goals 1.52–1.48. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hull City, Leicester City.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysHull City · Leicester City3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHull CityLeicester CityBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHull City · Leicester City14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHull CityLeicester CityBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Leicester City have a visible away split

moderate

Leicester City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Expected goals1.52 xG1.48 xGHull City 1.52 xG, Leicester City 1.48 xG

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joe Gelhardt · Hull City · 39′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHamza Choudhury · Leicester City · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 38′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBoubakary Soumaré · Leicester City · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAaron Ramsey · Leicester City · 67′ · 0.02 xG · goalAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Winks · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBoubakary Soumaré · Leicester City · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAaron Ramsey · Leicester City · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAaron Ramsey · Leicester City · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 35′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKyle Joseph · Hull City · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Leicester City · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatt Crooks · Hull City · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKyle Joseph · Hull City · 5′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKyle Joseph · Hull City · 21′ · 0.10 xG · on targetWout Faes · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAaron Ramsey · Leicester City · 83′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 76′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLiam Millar · Hull City · 6′ · 0.17 xG · goalPatson Daka · Leicester City · 18′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 69′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 14′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 31′ · 0.81 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hull City: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.54 xG. Leicester City: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Liam Millar · Hull City · 6′Joe Gelhardt · Hull City · 31′Aaron Ramsey · Leicester City · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 1.54 xG · Leicester City 1.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Hull City
1Draws
0Leicester City
Hull City — Leicester City · Championship2–2
Leicester City — Hull City · Championship0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hull City favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Leicester City in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hull City11 matchesLeicester City11 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.36 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1 goal/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.19 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104.8 shots/match
45.2%Possession10/10● 56.7%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6.5 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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