Championship · 2025Ewood Park

Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Southampton · Championship

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Blackburn Rovers won 2–1.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
3.21.67
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Blackburn Rovers beat Southampton 2–1. Recorded in this match (Blackburn Rovers – Southampton): shots 18–12, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 3.2–1.67, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Blackburn Rovers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Blackburn Rovers's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match13 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Southampton.

3.8 days ▲Rest daysBlackburn Rovers · Southampton3.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversSouthamptonBaseline
Rest days3.8 days3.79 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Southampton have a visible away split

moderate

Southampton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsBlackburn Rovers 18 shots, Southampton 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsBlackburn Rovers 6 shots, Southampton 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.2 xG1.67 xGBlackburn Rovers 3.2 xG, Southampton 1.67 xG
  • Possession51%49%Blackburn Rovers 51%, Southampton 49%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersBlackburn Rovers 6 corners, Southampton 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls7 foulsBlackburn Rovers 13 fouls, Southampton 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 76′ · 0.02 xG · goalYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · Southampton · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRonnie Edwards · Southampton · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLeo Scienza · Southampton · 35′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · Southampton · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Quarshie · Southampton · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Southampton · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAxel Henriksson · Blackburn Rovers · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Southampton · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNathan Wood · Southampton · 17′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMads Roerslev · Southampton · 54′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 11′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRyan Hedges · Blackburn Rovers · 86′ · 0.25 xG · on targetYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 62′ · 0.26 xG · on targetLeo Scienza · Southampton · 23′ · 0.32 xG · goalAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 66′ · 0.33 xG · on targetAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 53′ · 0.46 xG · on targetYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 49′ · 0.53 xG · on targetAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 86′ · 0.56 xG · goalRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 49′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 62′ · 0.66 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 18 shots, 6 on target, 3.59 xG. Southampton: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Ryan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 76′Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 86′Leo Scienza · Southampton · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 3.59 xG · Southampton 1.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Blackburn Rovers
1Draws
1Southampton
Blackburn Rovers — Southampton · Championship0–0
Southampton — Blackburn Rovers · Championship4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Southampton in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers11 matchesSouthampton12 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed11/12▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals11/12▲ 1.84 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots10/11▲ 14.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/11▲ 4.82 shots/match
49.3%Possession10/11● 58.5%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/11● 5.73 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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