Championship · 2025Ashton Gate

Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers · Championship

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Blackburn Rovers won 0–1.

Shots
1216
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
0.521.66
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Blackburn Rovers beat Bristol City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers): shots 12–16, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.52–1.66, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bristol City, Blackburn Rovers.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysBristol City · Blackburn Rovers3.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBristol CityBlackburn RoversBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bristol City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bristol City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots16 shotsBristol City 12 shots, Blackburn Rovers 16 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsBristol City 0 shots, Blackburn Rovers 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.52 xG1.66 xGBristol City 0.52 xG, Blackburn Rovers 1.66 xG
  • Possession49%51%Bristol City 49%, Blackburn Rovers 51%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersBristol City 6 corners, Blackburn Rovers 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsBristol City 8 fouls, Blackburn Rovers 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ryoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRob Dickie · Bristol City · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Hedges · Blackburn Rovers · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 75′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGeorge Tanner · Bristol City · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMakhtar Gueye · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMark Sykes · Bristol City · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 21′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAdam Forshaw · Blackburn Rovers · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedScott Wharton · Blackburn Rovers · 69′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 37′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.73 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bristol City: 12 shots, 0 on target, 0.53 xG. Blackburn Rovers: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bristol City 0.53 xG · Blackburn Rovers 1.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bristol City
1Draws
2Blackburn Rovers
Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship2–1
Blackburn Rovers — Bristol City · Championship3–0
Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship5–0
Blackburn Rovers — Bristol City · Championship2–1
Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bristol City favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Blackburn Rovers in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bristol City14 matchesBlackburn Rovers13 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/131 goal/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/131.31 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲ 1.53 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots13/1212.9 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on target13/12▲ 3.83 shots/match
46.5%Possession13/12● 48.5%
5.31 corners/match ●Corners13/124.83 corners/match
9.92 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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