Championship · 2025Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeCoventry Building Society ArenaFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCoventry CitySheffield United
Shots17 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.91 xG/match1.12 xG/match
Possession58%42%
Corners6 corners/match13 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Josh Eccles · Coventry City · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJosh Eccles · Coventry City · 6′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJay Dasilva · Coventry City · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 12′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMilan van Ewijk · Coventry City · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSam McCallum · Sheffield United · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 49′ · 0.06 xG · goalTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 14′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 68′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSam McCallum · Sheffield United · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 23′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 60′ · 0.12 xG · goalSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 42′ · 0.14 xG · on targetHaji Wright · Coventry City · 45′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 79′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSam McCallum · Sheffield United · 25′ · 0.26 xG · goalBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 90′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Coventry City: 17 shots, 8 on target, 1.97 xG. Sheffield United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 49′Bobby Thomas · Coventry City · 60′Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 90′Sam McCallum · Sheffield United · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Coventry City 1.97 xG · Sheffield United 1.02 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Coventry City, Sheffield United. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.79 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Coventry City, Sheffield United.

4 daysRest daysCoventry City · Sheffield United3.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCoventry CitySheffield UnitedBaseline
Rest days4 days3.21 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Coventry City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.9 shots/matchShotsCoventry City · Sheffield United12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCoventry CitySheffield UnitedBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match12 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Coventry City favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 1 · 3 too close

2.79 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/140.79 goals/match
0.93 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/141.86 goals/match
2.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/141.31 xG/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/141.34 xG/match
16.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1312 shots/match
11.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1313.5 shots/match
5.77 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/133.08 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/134.77 shots/match
53.8%Possessionseason · 13/1353.8%
5.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/137.69 corners/match
5.62 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/133.85 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
8.54 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1212.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
43%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1414%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1457%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Coventry City75
Sheffield United75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Coventry City97.9
Sheffield United20.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Coventry City75.7
Sheffield United13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Coventry City93.8
Sheffield United14.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Coventry City2.1
Sheffield United91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 43%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Coventry City81.2
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Coventry City69.8
Sheffield United59.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.81 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots4/414 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/44.5 shots/match
55%Possession4/449.3%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/48.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
5.5 fouls/matchFouls4/311.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
0.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
2.28 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.39 xG/match
16.4 shots/matchShots9/911.8 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target9/93.33 shots/match
52.6%Possession9/951.9%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/96.89 corners/match
Cards0/0
7.56 fouls/matchFouls9/813 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
2.79 goals/matchGoals scored14/140.79 goals/match
0.93 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.86 goals/match
2.18 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.31 xG/match
16.9 shots/matchShots13/1312 shots/match
5.77 shots/matchShots on target13/133.08 shots/match
53.8%Possession13/1353.8%
5.69 corners/matchCorners13/137.69 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.54 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
2.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/80.88 goals/match
0.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.88 goals/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals7/81.13 xG/match
17.4 shots/matchShots7/79.71 shots/match
5.14 shots/matchShots on target7/72.14 shots/match
57.7%Possession7/750.1%
6.29 corners/matchCorners7/77.43 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.57 fouls/matchFouls7/713.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.21 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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