Championship · 2025MKM Stadium

Hull City 3–2 Portsmouth · Championship

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hull City won 3–2.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
2.361.29
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hull City beat Portsmouth 3–2. Recorded in this match (Hull City – Portsmouth): shots 13–13, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 2.36–1.29, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hull City, Portsmouth.

3.7 days ▲Rest daysHull City · Portsmouth2.69 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHull CityPortsmouthBaseline
Rest days3.7 days2.69 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Portsmouth have a visible away split

moderate

Portsmouth's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.57 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.57 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Portsmouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Portsmouth's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsHull City 13 shots, Portsmouth 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsHull City 4 shots, Portsmouth 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.36 xG1.29 xGHull City 2.36 xG, Portsmouth 1.29 xG
  • Possession57%43%Hull City 57%, Portsmouth 43%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersHull City 5 corners, Portsmouth 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls14 foulsHull City 6 fouls, Portsmouth 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Josh Murphy · Portsmouth · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJosh Murphy · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 15′ · 0.02 xG · goalRyan Giles · Hull City · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Giles · Hull City · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Giles · Hull City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Lee Williams · Portsmouth · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKyle Joseph · Hull City · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedZak Swanson · Portsmouth · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedZak Swanson · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetZak Swanson · Portsmouth · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMakenzie Kirk · Portsmouth · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosef Bursik · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRegan Slater · Hull City · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ndala · Hull City · 82′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMakenzie Kirk · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetEnis Destan · Hull City · 27′ · 0.19 xG · goalCharlie Hughes · Hull City · 52′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 9′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedKyle Joseph · Hull City · 42′ · 0.25 xG · goalKyle Joseph · Hull City · 35′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 79′ · 0.44 xG · goalKyle Joseph · Hull City · 6′ · 0.46 xG · on targetTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 45′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hull City: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.35 xG. Portsmouth: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Enis Destan · Hull City · 27′Kyle Joseph · Hull City · 42′Joe Gelhardt · Hull City · 79′Terry Devlin · Portsmouth · 15′Terry Devlin · Portsmouth · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 2.35 xG · Portsmouth 1.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Hull City
2Draws
0Portsmouth
Portsmouth — Hull City · Championship1–1
Hull City — Portsmouth · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hull City favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Portsmouth in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hull City15 matchesPortsmouth15 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.14 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots14/1412.1 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.29 shots/match
46.6%Possession14/14● 48.9%
4.57 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.5 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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