Championship · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeSwansea.com StadiumFull-time recap
14Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSwansea CityIpswich Town
Shots9 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.43 xG/match1.37 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetManuel Benson · Swansea City · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 36′ · 0.03 xG · goalDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeif Davis · Ipswich Town · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeif Davis · Ipswich Town · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCameron Burgess · Ipswich Town · 55′ · 0.10 xG · goalBen Cabango · Swansea City · 65′ · 0.10 xG · on targetCameron Burgess · Ipswich Town · 81′ · 0.10 xG · goalGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 20′ · 0.15 xG · on targetGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 50′ · 0.16 xG · goalKasey McAteer · Ipswich Town · 48′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 76′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Swansea City: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.47 xG. Ipswich Town: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 50′Jack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 36′Cameron Burgess · Ipswich Town · 55′Ivan Azón · Ipswich Town · 76′Cameron Burgess · Ipswich Town · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Swansea City 0.47 xG · Ipswich Town 1.56 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Swansea City, Ipswich Town. A second useful context is: Swansea City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Swansea City, Ipswich Town.

2.8 daysRest daysSwansea City · Ipswich Town3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSwansea CityIpswich TownBaseline
Rest days2.8 days3.8 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Swansea City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Swansea City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/matchShotsSwansea City · Ipswich Town14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSwansea CityIpswich TownBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match9.69 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Swansea City favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 10 · 3 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/141.86 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/141.14 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 15/141.76 xG/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/140.97 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1314.9 shots/match
11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/139.69 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/134.69 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/132.92 shots/match
55.1%Possessionseason · 14/1355.8%
4.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/134.92 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/134.15 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1414%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1486%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Swansea City81.2
Ipswich Town85.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Swansea City17.4
Ipswich Town92.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Swansea City52.1
Ipswich Town81.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Swansea City2.1
Ipswich Town72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Swansea City39.6
Ipswich Town64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 43%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Swansea City31.2
Ipswich Town39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Swansea City24.5
Ipswich Town71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
0.53 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.67 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots4/413.5 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/44.75 shots/match
55.8%Possession4/454.8%
5.25 corners/matchCorners4/43.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.75 fouls/matchFouls4/49.5 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.74 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots9/915.6 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target9/95.78 shots/match
53.7%Possession9/953.9%
4.11 corners/matchCorners9/94.89 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls8/910.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 14 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored15/141.86 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed15/141.14 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals15/141.76 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots14/1314.9 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target14/134.69 shots/match
55.1%Possession14/1355.8%
4.43 corners/matchCorners14/134.92 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 6 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/61.83 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/61.17 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/61.41 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots7/612.8 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/63.67 shots/match
56.4%Possession7/657.3%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/65.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/612.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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