Championship · 2025The Valley

Charlton Athletic 1–2 Middlesbrough · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Middlesbrough won 1–2.

Shots
613
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.260.72
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Middlesbrough beat Charlton Athletic 2–1. Recorded in this match (Charlton Athletic – Middlesbrough): shots 6–13, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.26–0.72, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Middlesbrough's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Middlesbrough's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Middlesbrough.

10.2 days ▲Rest daysCharlton Athletic · Middlesbrough3.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCharlton AthleticMiddlesbroughBaseline
Rest days10.2 days3.98 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Charlton Athletic show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Charlton Athletic's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsCharlton Athletic · Middlesbrough12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharlton AthleticMiddlesbroughBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots13 shotsCharlton Athletic 6 shots, Middlesbrough 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsCharlton Athletic 3 shots, Middlesbrough 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.26 xG0.72 xGCharlton Athletic 0.26 xG, Middlesbrough 0.72 xG
  • Possession37%63%Charlton Athletic 37%, Middlesbrough 63%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersCharlton Athletic 5 corners, Middlesbrough 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls5 foulsCharlton Athletic 18 fouls, Middlesbrough 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 7′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuke Berry · Charlton Athletic · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCallum Brittain · Middlesbrough · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 10′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexander Gilbert · Middlesbrough · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 33′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJames Bree · Charlton Athletic · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Bangura · Middlesbrough · 8′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCallum Brittain · Middlesbrough · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 45′ · 0.05 xG · goalRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 53′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Olaofe · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 4′ · 0.08 xG · on targetIbrahim Fullah · Charlton Athletic · 70′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGeorge Edmundson · Charlton Athletic · 81′ · 0.10 xG · goalRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 34′ · 0.14 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.35 xG. Middlesbrough: 13 shots, 7 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′George Edmundson · Charlton Athletic · 81′Riley McGree · Middlesbrough · 34′Morgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 0.35 xG · Middlesbrough 0.70 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlton Athletic favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Middlesbrough in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlton Athletic19 matchesMiddlesbrough20 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored19/20▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed19/20▲ 1.05 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals19/20▲ 1.04 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots18/19▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target18/193.84 shots/match
41.9%Possession18/19● 55.8%
3.44 corners/matchCorners18/19● 5.63 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls17/199.79 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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