Championship · 2025Ashton Gate

Bristol City 2–2 Leicester City · Championship

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bristol City and Leicester City drew 2–2.

Shots
2112
Shots on target
115
Expected goals
2.421.69
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bristol City and Leicester City drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Bristol City – Leicester City): shots 21–12, shots on target 11–5, expected goals 2.42–1.69, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bristol City.

4.2 days ▲Rest daysBristol City · Leicester City4.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBristol CityLeicester CityBaseline
Rest days4.2 days4.3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots12 shotsBristol City 21 shots, Leicester City 12 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots5 shotsBristol City 11 shots, Leicester City 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.42 xG1.69 xGBristol City 2.42 xG, Leicester City 1.69 xG
  • Possession65%35%Bristol City 65%, Leicester City 35%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersBristol City 10 corners, Leicester City 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsBristol City 10 fouls, Leicester City 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMark Sykes · Bristol City · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSinclair Armstrong · Bristol City · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMark Sykes · Bristol City · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSilko Thomas · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJordan James · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 20′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCameron Pring · Bristol City · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBenjamin Nelson · Leicester City · 14′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRob Dickie · Bristol City · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdam Randell · Bristol City · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRob Dickie · Bristol City · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 12′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMark Sykes · Bristol City · 46′ · 0.10 xG · goalAdam Randell · Bristol City · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 83′ · 0.21 xG · goalStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 5′ · 0.36 xG · on targetBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.37 xG · goalJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 17′ · 0.82 xG · goalSinclair Armstrong · Bristol City · 63′ · 0.98 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bristol City: 21 shots, 11 on target, 2.44 xG. Leicester City: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mark Sykes · Bristol City · 46′Emil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 83′Jordan Ayew · Leicester City · 17′Bobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bristol City 2.44 xG · Leicester City 1.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bristol City
0Draws
1Leicester City
Bristol City — Leicester City · Championship1–0
Leicester City — Bristol City · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bristol City favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Leicester City in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bristol City20 matchesLeicester City20 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored20/201.35 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.3 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.19 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots19/1912.1 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target19/194.05 shots/match
48.3%Possession19/19● 53.2%
5.47 corners/match ●Corners19/195.16 corners/match
9.74 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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