Championship · 2025Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City 2–1 Wrexham · Championship

2–1Historical match

Wrexham

WDDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Swansea City won 2–1.

Shots
225
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.120.35
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Swansea City beat Wrexham 2–1. Recorded in this match (Swansea City – Wrexham): shots 22–5, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.12–0.35, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Swansea City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Swansea City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wrexham have a visible away split

strong

Wrexham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.18 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.18 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Swansea City, Wrexham.

6.31 days ▲Rest daysSwansea City · Wrexham6.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSwansea CityWrexhamBaseline
Rest days6.31 days6.21 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots5 shotsSwansea City 22 shots, Wrexham 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotSwansea City 5 shots, Wrexham 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.12 xG0.35 xGSwansea City 2.12 xG, Wrexham 0.35 xG
  • Possession56%44%Swansea City 56%, Wrexham 44%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersSwansea City 5 corners, Wrexham 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsSwansea City 8 fouls, Wrexham 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Josh Tymon · Swansea City · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBen Cabango · Swansea City · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMelker Widell · Swansea City · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarko Stamenić · Swansea City · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKieffer Moore · Wrexham · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZeidane Inoussa · Swansea City · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarko Stamenić · Swansea City · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZeidane Inoussa · Swansea City · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Thomason · Wrexham · 49′ · 0.08 xG · on targetŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 70′ · 0.08 xG · goalCameron Burgess · Wrexham · 14′ · 0.10 xG · goalMax Cleworth · Wrexham · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 79′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLiam Cullen · Swansea City · 86′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCameron Burgess · Swansea City · 38′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedCameron Burgess · Swansea City · 38′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Swansea City: 21 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG. Wrexham: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Žan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 70′Cameron Burgess · Wrexham · 14′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Swansea City 1.14 xG · Wrexham 0.46 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Swansea City favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Wrexham in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Swansea City22 matchesWrexham22 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.23 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.2 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots21/2110.6 shots/match
3.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.48 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession21/2145.7%
4.76 corners/match ●Corners21/214.24 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls20/209.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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