PitchMath
Championship · 2025Deepdale

Preston North End 1–1 Norwich City · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Preston North End and Norwich City drew 1–1.

Shots
118
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.140.4
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Preston North End and Norwich City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Preston North End – Norwich City): shots 11–8, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.14–0.4, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Norwich City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Preston North End, Norwich City.

7 days ▲Rest daysPreston North End · Norwich City7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPreston North EndNorwich CityBaseline
Rest days7 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsPreston North End 11 shots, Norwich City 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotPreston North End 4 shots, Norwich City 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.14 xG0.4 xGPreston North End 1.14 xG, Norwich City 0.4 xG
  • Possession47%53%Preston North End 47%, Norwich City 53%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersPreston North End 4 corners, Norwich City 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsPreston North End 11 fouls, Norwich City 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Oscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndrew Hughes · Preston North End · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJovon Makama · Norwich City · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedForson Amankwah · Norwich City · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTony Springett · Norwich City · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJovon Makama · Norwich City · 85′ · 0.07 xG · goalBrad Potts · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMichael Smith · Preston North End · 59′ · 0.17 xG · on targetJovon Makama · Norwich City · 81′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedWill Keane · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.22 xG · goalAli McCann · Preston North End · 73′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Preston North End: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG. Norwich City: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Will Keane · Preston North End · 90′Jovon Makama · Norwich City · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Preston North End 1.14 xG · Norwich City 0.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Preston North End
2Draws
2Norwich City
Norwich City — Preston North End · Championship0–1
Preston North End — Norwich City · Championship2–2
Preston North End — Norwich City · Championship0–1
Norwich City — Preston North End · Championship0–0
Preston North End — Norwich City · Championship0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Preston North End favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Norwich City in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Preston North End22 matchesNorwich City22 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.14 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.59 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.28 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 12.3 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 3.9 shots/match
44.6%Possession21/21● 51.1%
4.24 corners/matchCorners21/21● 4.76 corners/match
9.95 fouls/matchFouls21/219.86 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPreston North EndNorwich City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headPreston North End — Norwich City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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