PitchMath
Championship · 2025Carrow Road

Norwich City 1–0 Charlton Athletic · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Norwich City won 1–0.

Shots
145
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
1.160.31
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Norwich City beat Charlton Athletic 1–0. Recorded in this match (Norwich City – Charlton Athletic): shots 14–5, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 1.16–0.31, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charlton Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlton Athletic's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlton Athletic have a visible away split

moderate

Charlton Athletic's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.09 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.09 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Norwich City have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.6% ●PossessionNorwich City · Charlton Athletic42%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNorwich CityCharlton AthleticBaseline
Possession51.6%42%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsNorwich City 14 shots, Charlton Athletic 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsNorwich City 5 shots, Charlton Athletic 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG0.31 xGNorwich City 1.16 xG, Charlton Athletic 0.31 xG
  • Possession62%38%Norwich City 62%, Charlton Athletic 38%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersNorwich City 5 corners, Charlton Athletic 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls17 foulsNorwich City 9 fouls, Charlton Athletic 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ruairi McConville · Norwich City · 7′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJovon Makama · Norwich City · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Wright · Norwich City · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKaroy Anderson · Charlton Athletic · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJacob Wright · Norwich City · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRuairi McConville · Norwich City · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatěj Jurásek · Norwich City · 39′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKenny McLean · Norwich City · 6′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJovon Makama · Norwich City · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJames Bree · Charlton Athletic · 47′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJovon Makama · Norwich City · 61′ · 0.14 xG · goalTony Springett · Norwich City · 88′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.19 xG. Charlton Athletic: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jovon Makama · Norwich City · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 1.19 xG · Charlton Athletic 0.28 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Norwich City favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Charlton Athletic in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Norwich City23 matchesCharlton Athletic22 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/220.95 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed23/22▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/220.93 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots22/2110.8 shots/match
3.95 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/213.38 shots/match
51.6% ●Possession22/2142%
4.77 corners/match ●Corners22/213.62 corners/match
9.82 fouls/matchFouls22/2012.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNorwich CityCharlton Athletic
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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