Championship · 2025The Valley

Charlton Athletic 1–0 Oxford United · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Charlton Athletic won 1–0.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.770.61
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charlton Athletic beat Oxford United 1–0. Recorded in this match (Charlton Athletic – Oxford United): shots 13–12, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.77–0.61, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charlton Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlton Athletic's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Oxford United have a visible away split

moderate

Oxford United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oxford United.

7 days ▲Rest daysCharlton Athletic · Oxford United7.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCharlton AthleticOxford UnitedBaseline
Rest days7 days7.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsCharlton Athletic 13 shots, Oxford United 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotCharlton Athletic 4 shots, Oxford United 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.77 xG0.61 xGCharlton Athletic 0.77 xG, Oxford United 0.61 xG
  • Possession52%48%Charlton Athletic 52%, Oxford United 48%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersCharlton Athletic 5 corners, Oxford United 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsCharlton Athletic 15 fouls, Oxford United 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Will Vaulks · Oxford United · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMark Harris · Oxford United · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRobert Apter · Charlton Athletic · 55′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichał Helik · Oxford United · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCiaron Brown · Oxford United · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNik Prelec · Oxford United · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichał Helik · Oxford United · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 78′ · 0.03 xG · goalNik Prelec · Oxford United · 26′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Apter · Charlton Athletic · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMark Harris · Oxford United · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrian De Keersmaecker · Oxford United · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWill Vaulks · Oxford United · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJames Bree · Charlton Athletic · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFilip Krastev · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 20′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMichał Helik · Oxford United · 83′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 33′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Olaofe · Charlton Athletic · 33′ · 0.38 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.08 xG. Oxford United: 12 shots, 1 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Charlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 1.08 xG · Oxford United 0.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Charlton Athletic
1Draws
4Oxford United
Charlton Athletic — Oxford United · League One1–2
Oxford United — Charlton Athletic · League One2–1
Oxford United — Charlton Athletic · League One3–1
Charlton Athletic — Oxford United · League One1–1
Charlton Athletic — Oxford United · League One0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlton Athletic favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Oxford United in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlton Athletic21 matchesOxford United22 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored21/221 goal/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/221.41 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals21/22▲ 1.08 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots20/21▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on target20/21▲ 3.81 shots/match
42.3%Possession20/21● 43%
3.5 corners/matchCorners20/21● 4 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls19/2010.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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