Championship · 2025Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeMKM StadiumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHull CityWest Bromwich Albion
Shots10 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.29 xG/match1.34 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatt Crooks · Hull City · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLewie Coyle · Hull City · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBabajide David Akintola · Hull City · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 4′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Hughes · Hull City · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 29′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 11′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hull City: 10 shots, 1 on target, 1.34 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Oliver McBurnie · Hull City · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 1.34 xG · West Bromwich Albion 1.31 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/matchShotsHull City · West Bromwich Albion14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHull CityWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible away split

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.8 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hull City favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 6 · 5 too close

1.68 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/221.14 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/221.32 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 22/221.23 xG/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 22/221.17 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/2214 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2211.5 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/224.14 shots/match
4.81 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/223.55 shots/match
47%Possessionseason · 21/2252.1%
4.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/225.14 corners/match
5.48 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/223.95 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/229.86 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2223%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2273%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hull City35.4
West Bromwich Albion60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hull City63.2
West Bromwich Albion59
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hull City8.3
West Bromwich Albion70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hull City39.6
West Bromwich Albion72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hull City64.6
West Bromwich Albion22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hull City25
West Bromwich Albion56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hull City47.4
West Bromwich Albion56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.69 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/517.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55.6 shots/match
45.6%Possession5/553.6%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.49 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots10/1015.8 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/105 shots/match
48.7%Possession10/1051.7%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
1.68 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.14 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.32 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.23 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots21/2214 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target21/224.14 shots/match
47%Possession21/2252.1%
4.71 corners/matchCorners21/225.14 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.1 fouls/matchFouls21/229.86 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1.58 goals/matchGoals scored12/121 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.75 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.11 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots11/1211.8 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on target11/123.08 shots/match
49.5%Possession11/1250.2%
4.91 corners/matchCorners11/124.08 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls11/129.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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