PitchMath
Championship · 2025MKM Stadium

Hull City 1–0 West Bromwich Albion · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hull City won 1–0.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
1.291.34
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hull City beat West Bromwich Albion 1–0. Recorded in this match (Hull City – West Bromwich Albion): shots 10–13, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 1.29–1.34, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHull City · West Bromwich Albion14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHull CityWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible away split

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsHull City 10 shots, West Bromwich Albion 13 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotHull City 1 shot, West Bromwich Albion 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.29 xG1.34 xGHull City 1.29 xG, West Bromwich Albion 1.34 xG
  • Possession43%57%Hull City 43%, West Bromwich Albion 57%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersHull City 8 corners, West Bromwich Albion 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsHull City 14 fouls, West Bromwich Albion 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatt Crooks · Hull City · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLewie Coyle · Hull City · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBabajide David Akintola · Hull City · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 4′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Hughes · Hull City · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 29′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 11′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hull City: 10 shots, 1 on target, 1.34 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Oliver McBurnie · Hull City · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 1.34 xG · West Bromwich Albion 1.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Hull City
2Draws
2West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion — Hull City · Championship1–1
Hull City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–2
Hull City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–1
West Bromwich Albion — Hull City · Championship3–1
Hull City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hull City favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hull City22 matchesWest Bromwich Albion22 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.14 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.32 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.23 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots21/22▲ 14 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target21/224.14 shots/match
47%Possession21/22● 52.1%
4.71 corners/matchCorners21/22● 5.14 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls21/229.86 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHull CityWest Bromwich Albion
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headHull City — West Bromwich Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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