PitchMath
Championship · 2025Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry City 1–0 Swansea City · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coventry City won 1–0.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.31.22
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coventry City beat Swansea City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coventry City – Swansea City): shots 16–11, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.3–1.22, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coventry City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coventry City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match2.35 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Coventry City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCoventry City · Swansea City11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCoventry CitySwansea CityBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsCoventry City 16 shots, Swansea City 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsCoventry City 7 shots, Swansea City 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG1.22 xGCoventry City 1.3 xG, Swansea City 1.22 xG
  • Possession46%54%Coventry City 46%, Swansea City 54%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersCoventry City 7 corners, Swansea City 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsCoventry City 13 fouls, Swansea City 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jake Bidwell · Coventry City · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZeidane Inoussa · Swansea City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuke Woolfenden · Coventry City · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatt Grimes · Coventry City · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZeidane Inoussa · Swansea City · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMelker Widell · Swansea City · 77′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBobby Wales · Swansea City · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 8′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 47′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 62′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMelker Widell · Swansea City · 65′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 79′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 37′ · 0.16 xG · on targetEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 37′ · 0.18 xG · on targetEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 44′ · 0.19 xG · goalLiam Cullen · Swansea City · 71′ · 0.71 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Coventry City: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.36 xG. Swansea City: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Coventry City 1.36 xG · Swansea City 1.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Coventry City
3Draws
1Swansea City
Swansea City — Coventry City · Championship0–2
Coventry City — Swansea City · Championship1–2
Coventry City — Swansea City · Championship2–2
Swansea City — Coventry City · Championship1–1
Swansea City — Coventry City · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coventry City favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Swansea City in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coventry City23 matchesSwansea City23 matches
2.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.04 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.35 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/230.88 xG/match
17.5 shots/match ▲Shots22/2211.5 shots/match
5.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.68 shots/match
55% ●Possession22/2254.9%
5.59 corners/match ●Corners22/224.73 corners/match
9.27 fouls/matchFouls22/2110.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoventry CitySwansea City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headCoventry City — Swansea City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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