PitchMath
Championship · 2025Kassam Stadium

Oxford United 0–0 Bristol City · Championship

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Oxford United and Bristol City drew 0–0.

Shots
96
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.20.44
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Oxford United and Bristol City drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Oxford United – Bristol City): shots 9–6, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.2–0.44, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oxford United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oxford United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Oxford United have a visible home split

moderate

Oxford United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match13 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots6 shotsOxford United 9 shots, Bristol City 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotOxford United 3 shots, Bristol City 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.2 xG0.44 xGOxford United 1.2 xG, Bristol City 0.44 xG
  • Possession47%53%Oxford United 47%, Bristol City 53%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersOxford United 6 corners, Bristol City 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsOxford United 9 fouls, Bristol City 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sam Morsy · Bristol City · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichał Helik · Oxford United · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStanley Mills · Oxford United · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStanley Mills · Oxford United · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 30′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBrian De Keersmaecker · Oxford United · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCiaron Brown · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetStanley Mills · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 59′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 67′ · 0.65 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Oxford United: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.24 xG. Bristol City: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Oxford United 1.24 xG · Bristol City 0.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Oxford United
1Draws
1Bristol City
Bristol City — Oxford United · Championship1–3
Oxford United — Bristol City · Championship1–1
Bristol City — Oxford United · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oxford United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bristol City in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oxford United26 matchesBristol City27 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored26/27▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed26/27▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals26/27▲ 1.29 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots25/2613.4 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target25/26▲ 4.19 shots/match
42.5%Possession25/26● 48.3%
3.92 corners/matchCorners25/26● 5.23 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls24/269.73 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOxford UnitedBristol City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headOxford United — Bristol City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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