PitchMath
Championship · 2025Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City 1–1 Birmingham City · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Swansea City and Birmingham City drew 1–1.

Shots
1912
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.61.02
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Swansea City and Birmingham City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Swansea City – Birmingham City): shots 19–12, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.6–1.02, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Birmingham City have a visible away split

strong

Birmingham City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.92 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.92 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Swansea City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Swansea City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots12 shotsSwansea City 19 shots, Birmingham City 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotSwansea City 4 shots, Birmingham City 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.02 xGSwansea City 1.6 xG, Birmingham City 1.02 xG
  • Possession50%50%Swansea City 50%, Birmingham City 50%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersSwansea City 5 corners, Birmingham City 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsSwansea City 10 fouls, Birmingham City 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ji-sung Eom · Swansea City · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSeung Ho Paik · Birmingham City · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJay Fulton · Swansea City · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRonald · Swansea City · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLiam Cullen · Swansea City · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJay Fulton · Swansea City · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 8′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPatrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Cullen · Swansea City · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis Koumas · Birmingham City · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 53′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 17′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBen Cabango · Swansea City · 32′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 72′ · 0.19 xG · goalJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 15′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · Birmingham City · 54′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 56′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 21′ · 0.32 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Swansea City: 19 shots, 4 on target, 1.56 xG. Birmingham City: 12 shots, 1 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Žan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 21′Patrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Swansea City 1.56 xG · Birmingham City 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Swansea City
3Draws
2Birmingham City
Birmingham City — Swansea City · Championship1–0
Birmingham City — Swansea City · Championship2–2
Swansea City — Birmingham City · Championship1–1
Swansea City — Birmingham City · Championship3–4
Birmingham City — Swansea City · Championship2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Swansea City favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Swansea City27 matchesBirmingham City27 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.37 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.47 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 14.1 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target26/263.73 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession26/2654.5%
4.65 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.35 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls25/2611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSwansea CityBirmingham City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headSwansea City — Birmingham City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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