Championship · 2025Riverside

Middlesbrough 4–0 Preston North End · Championship

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Middlesbrough won 4–0.

Shots
164
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
2.830.4
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Middlesbrough beat Preston North End 4–0. Recorded in this match (Middlesbrough – Preston North End): shots 16–4, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 2.83–0.4, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Middlesbrough's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Middlesbrough's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Middlesbrough, Preston North End.

2.69 days ▲Rest daysMiddlesbrough · Preston North End3.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMiddlesbroughPreston North EndBaseline
Rest days2.69 days3.7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Middlesbrough show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Middlesbrough's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsMiddlesbrough · Preston North End11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMiddlesbroughPreston North EndBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots4 shotsMiddlesbrough 16 shots, Preston North End 4 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotMiddlesbrough 8 shots, Preston North End 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.83 xG0.4 xGMiddlesbrough 2.83 xG, Preston North End 0.4 xG
  • Possession67%33%Middlesbrough 67%, Preston North End 33%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersMiddlesbrough 8 corners, Preston North End 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls19 foulsMiddlesbrough 11 fouls, Preston North End 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Gilbert · Middlesbrough · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Gilbert · Middlesbrough · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAli McCann · Preston North End · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJordan Storey · Preston North End · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlan Browne · Middlesbrough · 36′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 33′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 42′ · 0.13 xG · goalDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 2′ · 0.24 xG · on targetTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 28′ · 0.31 xG · goalAlan Browne · Middlesbrough · 23′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blockedAlan Browne · Middlesbrough · 9′ · 0.61 xG · goalTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 54′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Middlesbrough: 16 shots, 8 on target, 2.94 xG. Preston North End: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Alan Browne · Middlesbrough · 9′Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 28′Morgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 42′Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Middlesbrough 2.94 xG · Preston North End 0.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Middlesbrough
2Draws
2Preston North End
Preston North End — Middlesbrough · Championship2–2
Preston North End — Middlesbrough · Championship2–1
Middlesbrough — Preston North End · Championship1–1
Preston North End — Middlesbrough · Championship2–1
Middlesbrough — Preston North End · Championship4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Middlesbrough favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Preston North End in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Middlesbrough29 matchesPreston North End29 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.24 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.14 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.12 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.61 shots/match
58.1% ●Possession28/2844.8%
6.29 corners/match ●Corners28/284.11 corners/match
9.54 fouls/matchFouls28/2810.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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