Championship · 2025Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeAshton GateFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBristol CitySheffield Wednesday
Shots16 shots/match3 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals2.55 xG/match0.71 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners9 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Cameron Pring · Bristol City · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedReece Johnson · Sheffield Wednesday · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 68′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCameron Pring · Bristol City · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSam Bell · Bristol City · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetScott Twine · Bristol City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdam Randell · Bristol City · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSam Bell · Bristol City · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJason Knight · Bristol City · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCameron Pring · Bristol City · 14′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedSam Bell · Bristol City · 78′ · 0.28 xG · goalScott Twine · Bristol City · 64′ · 0.46 xG · goalCameron Pring · Bristol City · 68′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 34′ · 0.55 xG · on targetBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 90′ · 0.64 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bristol City: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.52 xG. Sheffield Wednesday: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Scott Twine · Bristol City · 64′Sam Bell · Bristol City · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bristol City 2.52 xG · Sheffield Wednesday 0.68 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bristol City, Sheffield Wednesday. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield Wednesday's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.64 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bristol City, Sheffield Wednesday.

3.8 daysRest daysBristol City · Sheffield Wednesday3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBristol CitySheffield WednesdayBaseline
Rest days3.8 days3.8 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bristol City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bristol City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/matchShotsBristol City · Sheffield Wednesday9.22 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBristol CitySheffield WednesdayBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match9.22 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Bristol City
0Draws
0Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield WednesdayBristol City · Championship03

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bristol City favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 0 · 3 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/280.64 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/282 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 29/280.9 xG/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 29/281.88 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/279.22 shots/match
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2715.6 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/272.7 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/276.22 shots/match
48.7%Possessionseason · 28/2747%
5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/274.89 corners/match
4.93 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/276.19 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2611.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2811%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2846%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bristol City39.6
Sheffield Wednesday35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bristol City64.6
Sheffield Wednesday2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bristol City63.2
Sheffield Wednesday2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bristol City85.4
Sheffield Wednesday2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bristol City18.8
Sheffield Wednesday68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 46%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bristol City60.4
Sheffield Wednesday35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bristol City53.1
Sheffield Wednesday27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.34 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/55.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/51 shots/match
57.2%Possession5/548.6%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.52 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots10/106.2 shots/match
5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/101.3 shots/match
51.1%Possession10/1046.2%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 28 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored29/280.64 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed29/282 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals29/280.9 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots28/279.22 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target28/272.7 shots/match
48.7%Possession28/2747%
5.25 corners/matchCorners28/274.89 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.75 fouls/matchFouls28/2611.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 13 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored15/130.85 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed15/131.85 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals15/130.81 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots14/138.69 shots/match
4.21 shots/matchShots on target14/133.08 shots/match
52.4%Possession14/1342.5%
5.36 corners/matchCorners14/134.69 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.07 fouls/matchFouls14/1210.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match