Championship · 2025The Den

Millwall 1–1 Sheffield United · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Millwall and Sheffield United drew 1–1.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.381.22
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millwall and Sheffield United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Millwall – Sheffield United): shots 14–12, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.38–1.22, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Millwall's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Millwall's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United.

7.1 days ▲Rest daysMillwall · Sheffield United7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMillwallSheffield UnitedBaseline
Rest days7.1 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsMillwall 14 shots, Sheffield United 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsMillwall 6 shots, Sheffield United 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.38 xG1.22 xGMillwall 1.38 xG, Sheffield United 1.22 xG
  • Possession54%46%Millwall 54%, Sheffield United 46%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersMillwall 6 corners, Sheffield United 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsMillwall 9 fouls, Sheffield United 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFemi Azeez · Millwall · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFemi Azeez · Millwall · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFemi Azeez · Millwall · 50′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCaleb Taylor · Millwall · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBarry Bannan · Millwall · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFemi Azeez · Millwall · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFemi Azeez · Millwall · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Doughty · Millwall · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFemi Azeez · Millwall · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSam McCallum · Sheffield United · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBilly Mitchell · Millwall · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSam McCallum · Sheffield United · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSam McCallum · Sheffield United · 25′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHarrison Burrows · Sheffield United · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCaleb Taylor · Millwall · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 17′ · 0.06 xG · goalThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 37′ · 0.07 xG · on targetThierno Ballo · Millwall · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 61′ · 0.36 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedMacaulay Langstaff · Millwall · 9′ · 0.47 xG · on targetMihailo Ivanović · Millwall · 19′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Millwall: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.33 xG. Sheffield United: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mihailo Ivanović · Millwall · 19′Andre Brooks · Sheffield United · 17′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Millwall 1.33 xG · Sheffield United 1.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Millwall
0Draws
2Sheffield United
Sheffield United — Millwall · Championship0–1
Sheffield United — Millwall · Championship0–1
Millwall — Sheffield United · Championship0–1
Millwall — Sheffield United · Championship3–2
Sheffield United — Millwall · Championship2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millwall favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millwall30 matchesSheffield United29 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored30/29▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/291.45 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals30/29▲ 1.59 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots29/2813.5 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target29/284.21 shots/match
46.2%Possession29/28● 50.9%
5.31 corners/matchCorners29/28● 7.25 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2710.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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