PitchMath
Championship · 2025The Valley

Charlton Athletic 1–0 Stoke City · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Charlton Athletic won 1–0.

Shots
176
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
2.310.5
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charlton Athletic beat Stoke City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Charlton Athletic – Stoke City): shots 17–6, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 2.31–0.5, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stoke City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stoke City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlton Athletic have a visible home split

moderate

Charlton Athletic's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Stoke City have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%PossessionCharlton Athletic · Stoke City● 53.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCharlton AthleticStoke CityBaseline
Possession43.8%53.7%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsCharlton Athletic 17 shots, Stoke City 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCharlton Athletic 4 shots, Stoke City 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.31 xG0.5 xGCharlton Athletic 2.31 xG, Stoke City 0.5 xG
  • Possession36%64%Charlton Athletic 36%, Stoke City 64%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersCharlton Athletic 6 corners, Stoke City 5 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls6 foulsCharlton Athletic 5 fouls, Stoke City 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lamine Cissé · Stoke City · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTatsuki Seko · Stoke City · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedConor Coady · Charlton Athletic · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatt Godden · Charlton Athletic · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLyndon Dykes · Charlton Athletic · 21′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJesurun Rak-Sakyi · Stoke City · 43′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLyndon Dykes · Charlton Athletic · 10′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKayne Ramsay · Charlton Athletic · 14′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 50′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMatt Godden · Charlton Athletic · 56′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKayne Ramsay · Charlton Athletic · 42′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedHarry Clarke · Charlton Athletic · 6′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJesurun Rak-Sakyi · Stoke City · 17′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 11′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 81′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 17 shots, 4 on target, 2.30 xG. Stoke City: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 2.30 xG · Stoke City 0.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Charlton Athletic
0Draws
1Stoke City
Stoke City — Charlton Athletic · Championship3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlton Athletic favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Stoke City in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlton Athletic31 matchesStoke City32 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored31/32▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed31/32▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals31/320.99 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots30/3111 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target30/31▲ 3.81 shots/match
43.8%Possession30/31● 53.7%
4.4 corners/matchCorners30/31● 5.74 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls29/3010.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCharlton AthleticStoke City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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