PitchMath
Championship · 2025Kassam Stadium

Oxford United 0–3 Norwich City · Championship

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Norwich City won 0–3.

Shots
78
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.442.31
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Norwich City beat Oxford United 3–0. Recorded in this match (Oxford United – Norwich City): shots 7–8, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.44–2.31, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Norwich City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oxford United, Norwich City.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysOxford United · Norwich City3.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOxford UnitedNorwich CityBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Oxford United have a visible home split

moderate

Oxford United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots8 shotsOxford United 7 shots, Norwich City 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsOxford United 1 shot, Norwich City 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.44 xG2.31 xGOxford United 0.44 xG, Norwich City 2.31 xG
  • Possession40%60%Oxford United 40%, Norwich City 60%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersOxford United 2 corners, Norwich City 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsOxford United 8 fouls, Norwich City 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ole Romeny · Oxford United · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Płacheta · Oxford United · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenny McLean · Norwich City · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStanley Mills · Oxford United · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 16′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSam Field · Norwich City · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSam Field · Norwich City · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMyles Peart-Harris · Oxford United · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMyles Peart-Harris · Oxford United · 73′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJin-woo Jeon · Oxford United · 76′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Touré · Norwich City · 47′ · 0.29 xG · goalMohamed Touré · Norwich City · 1′ · 0.87 xG · goalMohamed Touré · Norwich City · 19′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Oxford United: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.45 xG. Norwich City: 8 shots, 4 on target, 2.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mohamed Touré · Norwich City · 1′Mohamed Touré · Norwich City · 19′Mohamed Touré · Norwich City · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Oxford United 0.45 xG · Norwich City 2.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Oxford United
2Draws
0Norwich City
Norwich City — Oxford United · Championship1–1
Norwich City — Oxford United · Championship1–1
Oxford United — Norwich City · Championship2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oxford United favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Norwich City in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oxford United32 matchesNorwich City32 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.31 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.23 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots31/3111.6 shots/match
3.32 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 3.84 shots/match
41%Possession31/31● 51.4%
3.61 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.52 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls30/3110.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 10 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOxford UnitedNorwich City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headOxford United — Norwich City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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