Championship · 2025Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeFratton ParkFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPortsmouthSheffield United
Shots23 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.5 xG/match0.99 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners11 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEbou Adams · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEbou Adams · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEbou Adams · Portsmouth · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohn Swift · Portsmouth · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 22′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTyler Bindon · Sheffield United · 68′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 28′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 28′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 41′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedZak Swanson · Portsmouth · 35′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 21′ · 0.14 xG · on targetColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 45′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedJohn Swift · Portsmouth · 16′ · 0.27 xG · on targetJacob Brown · Portsmouth · 78′ · 0.58 xG · on targetAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.99 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Portsmouth: 23 shots, 7 on target, 2.53 xG. Sheffield United: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Andre Brooks · Sheffield United · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Portsmouth 2.53 xG · Sheffield United 1.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Portsmouth's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Portsmouth's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Portsmouth have a visible home split

strong

Portsmouth's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Portsmouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Portsmouth's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.6 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United.

7 daysRest daysPortsmouth · Sheffield United4.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPortsmouthSheffield UnitedBaseline
Rest days7 days4.79 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Portsmouth
0Draws
1Sheffield United
Sheffield UnitedPortsmouth · Championship30

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Portsmouth favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 7 · 5 too close

0.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/321.41 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/321.41 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 30/321.53 xG/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 30/321.21 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/3113.3 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/3112.5 shots/match
3.52 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/314.16 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 29/314.26 shots/match
50.1%Possessionseason · 29/3150.7%
5.62 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/317.26 corners/match
5.1 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/314.81 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/3010.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3225%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3269%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portsmouth47.9
Sheffield United52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portsmouth27.1
Sheffield United70.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portsmouth52.1
Sheffield United28.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portsmouth35.4
Sheffield United64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portsmouth27.1
Sheffield United52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portsmouth81.2
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portsmouth44.8
Sheffield United72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.14 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
53.8%Possession5/547.2%
7.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.44 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots10/1013.1 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match
53%Possession10/1047.2%
6.4 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 32 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored30/321.41 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed30/321.41 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals30/321.53 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots29/3113.3 shots/match
3.52 shots/matchShots on target29/314.16 shots/match
50.1%Possession29/3150.7%
5.62 corners/matchCorners29/317.26 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFouls29/3010.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 17 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/171.18 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed16/171.65 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals16/171.29 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots15/1611.4 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target15/163.38 shots/match
53.5%Possession15/1646.4%
6.2 corners/matchCorners15/166.56 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1611.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples30 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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