Championship · 2025Riverside

Middlesbrough 1–1 Leicester City · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Middlesbrough and Leicester City drew 1–1.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.190.89
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Middlesbrough and Leicester City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Middlesbrough – Leicester City): shots 17–11, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.19–0.89, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Middlesbrough's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Middlesbrough's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.5 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Middlesbrough, Leicester City.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysMiddlesbrough · Leicester City3.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMiddlesbroughLeicester CityBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Middlesbrough show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Middlesbrough's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsMiddlesbrough · Leicester City11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMiddlesbroughLeicester CityBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsMiddlesbrough 17 shots, Leicester City 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsMiddlesbrough 4 shots, Leicester City 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG0.89 xGMiddlesbrough 1.19 xG, Leicester City 0.89 xG
  • Possession60%40%Middlesbrough 60%, Leicester City 40%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersMiddlesbrough 8 corners, Leicester City 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsMiddlesbrough 11 fouls, Leicester City 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPatson Daka · Leicester City · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Winks · Leicester City · 44′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 87′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLuke Thomas · Leicester City · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 84′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuke Thomas · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDavid Strelec · Middlesbrough · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDavid Strelec · Middlesbrough · 73′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 47′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 45′ · 0.28 xG · goalCaleb Okoli · Leicester City · 18′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Middlesbrough: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG. Leicester City: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Riley McGree · Middlesbrough · 45′Caleb Okoli · Leicester City · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Middlesbrough 1.20 xG · Leicester City 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Middlesbrough
1Draws
0Leicester City
Leicester City — Middlesbrough · Championship1–1
Leicester City — Middlesbrough · Championship1–2
Middlesbrough — Leicester City · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Middlesbrough favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Leicester City in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Middlesbrough34 matchesLeicester City34 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.38 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.59 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.06 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots33/3311.5 shots/match
4.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.7 shots/match
59.2% ●Possession33/3351.1%
6.24 corners/match ●Corners33/334.76 corners/match
9.82 fouls/matchFouls33/3311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 24 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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