Championship · 2025Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeLoftus Road StadiumFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricQueens Park RangersSheffield United
Shots12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.14 xG/match0.69 xG/match
Possession41%59%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Esquerdinha · Queens Park Rangers · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJaphet Tanganga · Sheffield United · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 33′ · 0.03 xG · goalRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTahith Chong · Sheffield United · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Burrows · Sheffield United · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Varane · Queens Park Rangers · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 38′ · 0.13 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 13′ · 0.21 xG · goalPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 71′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Hayden · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 73′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Queens Park Rangers: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.17 xG. Sheffield United: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 13′Tyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Queens Park Rangers 1.17 xG · Sheffield United 0.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Queens Park Rangers, Sheffield United. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Queens Park Rangers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Queens Park Rangers, Sheffield United.

3.79 daysRest daysQueens Park Rangers · Sheffield United2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricQueens Park RangersSheffield UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.79 days2.8 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Queens Park Rangers have a visible home split

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Queens Park Rangers
1Draws
0Sheffield United
Sheffield UnitedQueens Park Rangers · Championship00

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Queens Park Rangers favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 5 · 6 too close

1.31 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/351.43 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/351.37 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 35/351.52 xG/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 35/351.17 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3413.4 shots/match
11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3412.2 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/344.12 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/344.15 shots/match
46.2%Possessionseason · 34/3451.6%
5.03 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/347 corners/match
5.06 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/344.85 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3310.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
26%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3526%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3571%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Queens Park Rangers27.1
Sheffield United60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Queens Park Rangers48.6
Sheffield United68.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Queens Park Rangers46.5
Sheffield United34
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Queens Park Rangers89.6
Sheffield United68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Queens Park Rangers39.6
Sheffield United60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Queens Park Rangers52.1
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Queens Park Rangers48.5
Sheffield United73.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.24 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
48%Possession5/551.8%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.19 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots10/1013.4 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104.2 shots/match
44.7%Possession10/1050.5%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

35 / 35 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored35/351.43 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed35/351.37 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals35/351.52 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots34/3413.4 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target34/344.12 shots/match
46.2%Possession34/3451.6%
5.03 corners/matchCorners34/347 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls33/3310.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 18 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored17/181.22 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed17/181.56 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals17/181.25 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots17/1711.4 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target17/173.35 shots/match
47.5%Possession17/1747.1%
5.94 corners/matchCorners17/176.41 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1711.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.8 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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