Championship · 2025Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich Town 1–0 Hull City · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ipswich Town won 1–0.

Shots
156
Shots on target
70
Expected goals
1.540.27
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ipswich Town beat Hull City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ipswich Town – Hull City): shots 15–6, shots on target 7–0, expected goals 1.54–0.27, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town, Hull City.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysIpswich Town · Hull City3.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIpswich TownHull CityBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ipswich Town's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.76 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsIpswich Town · Hull City10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIpswich TownHull CityBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsIpswich Town 15 shots, Hull City 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots0 shotsIpswich Town 7 shots, Hull City 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG0.27 xGIpswich Town 1.54 xG, Hull City 0.27 xG
  • Possession61%39%Ipswich Town 61%, Hull City 39%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersIpswich Town 6 corners, Hull City 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls16 foulsIpswich Town 8 fouls, Hull City 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLiam Millar · Hull City · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Koumas · Hull City · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLewis Koumas · Hull City · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRegan Slater · Hull City · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Ipswich Town · 71′ · 0.07 xG · goalJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 31′ · 0.27 xG · on targetJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 74′ · 0.39 xG · on targetJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 74′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.82 xG. Hull City: 6 shots, 0 on target, 0.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Azor Matusiwa · Ipswich Town · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 1.82 xG · Hull City 0.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ipswich Town
1Draws
0Hull City
Hull City — Ipswich Town · Championship0–2
Hull City — Ipswich Town · Championship3–3
Ipswich Town — Hull City · Championship3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ipswich Town favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Hull City in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ipswich Town34 matchesHull City35 matches
1.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/351.6 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed34/351.4 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/351.27 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots33/3410.8 shots/match
5.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/344.06 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession33/3445.8%
5.18 corners/match ●Corners33/344.65 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3411.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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