Championship · 2025The Valley

Charlton Athletic 1–0 Birmingham City · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Charlton Athletic won 1–0.

Shots
127
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.920.32
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charlton Athletic beat Birmingham City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Charlton Athletic – Birmingham City): shots 12–7, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.92–0.32, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Birmingham City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Birmingham City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Birmingham City have a visible away split

strong

Birmingham City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlton Athletic, Birmingham City.

7 days ▲Rest daysCharlton Athletic · Birmingham City4.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCharlton AthleticBirmingham CityBaseline
Rest days7 days4.79 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsCharlton Athletic 12 shots, Birmingham City 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotCharlton Athletic 4 shots, Birmingham City 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.92 xG0.32 xGCharlton Athletic 0.92 xG, Birmingham City 0.32 xG
  • Possession43%57%Charlton Athletic 43%, Birmingham City 57%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersCharlton Athletic 3 corners, Birmingham City 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls14 foulsCharlton Athletic 6 fouls, Birmingham City 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSeung Ho Paik · Birmingham City · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLyndon Dykes · Charlton Athletic · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 27′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Clarke · Charlton Athletic · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 69′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKayne Ramsay · Charlton Athletic · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 74′ · 0.12 xG · goalHarry Clarke · Charlton Athletic · 21′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 33′ · 0.23 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.90 xG. Birmingham City: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Charlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 0.90 xG · Birmingham City 0.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Charlton Athletic
1Draws
1Birmingham City
Birmingham City — Charlton Athletic · Championship1–1
Birmingham City — Charlton Athletic · League One1–0
Charlton Athletic — Birmingham City · League One1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlton Athletic favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlton Athletic36 matchesBirmingham City36 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/361.31 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.4 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 13.9 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 3.91 shots/match
43.5%Possession35/35● 54.6%
4.09 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.71 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls34/3511.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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