Championship · 2025Riverside

Middlesbrough 0–1 Charlton Athletic · Championship

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Charlton Athletic won 0–1.

Shots
345
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.810.73
Possession
78%22%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charlton Athletic beat Middlesbrough 1–0. Recorded in this match (Middlesbrough – Charlton Athletic): shots 34–5, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.81–0.73, possession 78%–22%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Middlesbrough's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Middlesbrough's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20.4 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Middlesbrough.

3.14 days ▲Rest daysMiddlesbrough · Charlton Athletic4.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMiddlesbroughCharlton AthleticBaseline
Rest days3.14 days4.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Middlesbrough show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Middlesbrough's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsMiddlesbrough · Charlton Athletic10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMiddlesbroughCharlton AthleticBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots34 shots5 shotsMiddlesbrough 34 shots, Charlton Athletic 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsMiddlesbrough 7 shots, Charlton Athletic 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG0.73 xGMiddlesbrough 1.81 xG, Charlton Athletic 0.73 xG
  • Possession78%22%Middlesbrough 78%, Charlton Athletic 22%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersMiddlesbrough 11 corners, Charlton Athletic 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsMiddlesbrough 8 fouls, Charlton Athletic 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Riley McGree · Middlesbrough · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCallum Brittain · Middlesbrough · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDavid Strelec · Middlesbrough · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCallum Brittain · Middlesbrough · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMamadou Kaly Sene · Middlesbrough · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAdilson Malanda · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavid Strelec · Middlesbrough · 16′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Sarmiento · Middlesbrough · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 31′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 69′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 3′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 3′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedConor Coady · Charlton Athletic · 59′ · 0.22 xG · goalCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 27′ · 0.35 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Middlesbrough: 34 shots, 7 on target, 1.86 xG. Charlton Athletic: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Conor Coady · Charlton Athletic · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Middlesbrough 1.86 xG · Charlton Athletic 0.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Middlesbrough
0Draws
0Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic — Middlesbrough · Championship1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Middlesbrough favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Charlton Athletic in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Middlesbrough37 matchesCharlton Athletic37 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored37/370.95 goals/match
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals allowed37/371.19 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals37/370.98 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots36/3610.8 shots/match
4.61 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.36 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession36/3642.9%
6.31 corners/match ●Corners36/364.03 corners/match
9.64 fouls/matchFouls36/3511.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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