PitchMath
Championship · 2025Loftus Road Stadium

Queens Park Rangers 0–4 Middlesbrough · Championship

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Middlesbrough won 0–4.

Shots
916
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.633.68
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Middlesbrough beat Queens Park Rangers 4–0. Recorded in this match (Queens Park Rangers – Middlesbrough): shots 9–16, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.63–3.68, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Queens Park Rangers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Queens Park Rangers have a visible home split

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Middlesbrough have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.8%PossessionQueens Park Rangers · Middlesbrough● 58.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricQueens Park RangersMiddlesbroughBaseline
Possession45.8%58.9%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsQueens Park Rangers 9 shots, Middlesbrough 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsQueens Park Rangers 3 shots, Middlesbrough 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG3.68 xGQueens Park Rangers 0.63 xG, Middlesbrough 3.68 xG
  • Possession31%69%Queens Park Rangers 31%, Middlesbrough 69%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersQueens Park Rangers 3 corners, Middlesbrough 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls3 foulsQueens Park Rangers 9 fouls, Middlesbrough 3 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Morgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Hayden · Queens Park Rangers · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Strelec · Middlesbrough · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDaniel Bennie · Queens Park Rangers · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 72′ · 0.08 xG · goalRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 56′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Hayden · Queens Park Rangers · 55′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 24′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDavid Strelec · Middlesbrough · 55′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAlan Browne · Middlesbrough · 68′ · 0.27 xG · goalRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 72′ · 0.41 xG · on targetMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 20′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 20′ · 0.49 xG · on targetDavid Strelec · Middlesbrough · 20′ · 0.67 xG · goalTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 88′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Queens Park Rangers: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.64 xG. Middlesbrough: 16 shots, 7 on target, 3.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′David Strelec · Middlesbrough · 20′Alan Browne · Middlesbrough · 68′Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 72′Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Queens Park Rangers 0.64 xG · Middlesbrough 3.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Queens Park Rangers
0Draws
4Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough — Queens Park Rangers · Championship3–1
Middlesbrough — Queens Park Rangers · Championship2–1
Queens Park Rangers — Middlesbrough · Championship1–4
Queens Park Rangers — Middlesbrough · Championship0–2
Middlesbrough — Queens Park Rangers · Championship0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Queens Park Rangers favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Middlesbrough in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Queens Park Rangers36 matchesMiddlesbrough36 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.61 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.31 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 4.54 shots/match
45.8%Possession35/35● 58.9%
4.97 corners/matchCorners35/35● 6.17 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls34/359.69 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQueens Park RangersMiddlesbrough
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headQueens Park Rangers — Middlesbrough
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required