Championship · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdayIpswich Town
Shots5 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals0.38 xG/match2.34 xG/match
Possession32%68%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls20 fouls/match6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Sean Fusire · Sheffield Wednesday · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDan Neil · Ipswich Town · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Ipswich Town · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 11′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSean Fusire · Sheffield Wednesday · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJerry Yates · Sheffield Wednesday · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJerry Yates · Sheffield Wednesday · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 14′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGabriel Otegbayo · Sheffield Wednesday · 62′ · 0.19 xG · on targetIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 78′ · 0.22 xG · goalDarnell Furlong · Ipswich Town · 40′ · 0.26 xG · on targetIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 75′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 83′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.37 xG. Ipswich Town: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ivan Azón · Ipswich Town · 78′Jack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 0.37 xG · Ipswich Town 2.38 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, Ipswich Town. A second useful context is: Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, Ipswich Town.

3.8 daysRest daysSheffield Wednesday · Ipswich Town3.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield WednesdayIpswich TownBaseline
Rest days3.8 days3.79 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches4 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield Wednesday show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.46 shots/matchShotsSheffield Wednesday · Ipswich Town15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdayIpswich TownBaseline
Shots8.46 shots/match15 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match9.94 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Ipswich Town have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.8%PossessionSheffield Wednesday · Ipswich Town56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdayIpswich TownBaseline
Possession44.8%56.3%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sheffield Wednesday
0Draws
1Ipswich Town
Ipswich TownSheffield Wednesday · Championship31

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 11 · 3 too close

0.61 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/371.78 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/371.03 goals/match
0.83 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/371.64 xG/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/370.95 xG/match
8.46 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/3615 shots/match
15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/369.94 shots/match
2.54 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/365.11 shots/match
5.97 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/363.22 shots/match
44.8%Possessionseason · 37/3656.3%
4.54 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/365.39 corners/match
6.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/363.81 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3611.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3738%
47%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3789%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday14.6
Ipswich Town89.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday2.1
Ipswich Town91
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday2.1
Ipswich Town96.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday2.1
Ipswich Town72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday85.4
Ipswich Town68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday18.8
Ipswich Town60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday27.1
Ipswich Town77.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.68 xG/match
7.4 shots/matchShots5/515.4 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
37.6%Possession5/559.8%
4 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.9 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
0.62 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.58 xG/match
6.4 shots/matchShots10/1014.1 shots/match
2.1 shots/matchShots on target10/105.1 shots/match
38.6%Possession10/1057.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

38 / 37 matches
0.61 goals/matchGoals scored38/371.78 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed38/371.03 goals/match
0.83 xG/matchExpected goals38/371.64 xG/match
8.46 shots/matchShots37/3615 shots/match
2.54 shots/matchShots on target37/365.11 shots/match
44.8%Possession37/3656.3%
4.54 corners/matchCorners37/365.39 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

20 / 18 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored20/181.72 goals/match
2.05 goals/matchGoals allowed20/181.39 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals20/181.4 xG/match
9.37 shots/matchShots19/1813.9 shots/match
2.47 shots/matchShots on target19/184.44 shots/match
46.6%Possession19/1857.7%
4.79 corners/matchCorners19/185.17 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1811.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.79 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples38 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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