Championship · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeThe HawthornsFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionHull City
Shots26 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.28 xG/match0.34 xG/match
Possession68%32%
Corners10 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jamaldeen Jimoh · West Bromwich Albion · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohn Egan · Hull City · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatt Crooks · Hull City · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJed Wallace · West Bromwich Albion · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSemi Ajayi · Hull City · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Imray · West Bromwich Albion · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLiam Millar · Hull City · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Imray · West Bromwich Albion · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 60′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 21′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJed Wallace · West Bromwich Albion · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 37′ · 0.08 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.11 xG · goalOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 10′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 39′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 12′ · 0.17 xG · on targetOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 5′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 67′ · 0.26 xG · goalJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 24′ · 0.33 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 26 shots, 8 on target, 2.29 xG. Hull City: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Josh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 24′Aune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 67′Isaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 2.29 xG · Hull City 0.34 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hull City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Hull City. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Hull City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hull City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Hull City.

2.8 daysRest daysWest Bromwich Albion · Hull City3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionHull CityBaseline
Rest days2.8 days3.8 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/matchShotsWest Bromwich Albion · Hull City11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionHull CityBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Bromwich Albion
0Draws
1Hull City
Hull CityWest Bromwich Albion · Championship10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Bromwich Albion favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Hull City in 4 · 5 too close

1.03 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/381.55 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/381.47 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/381.29 xG/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/381.73 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/3711 shots/match
10.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/3715.2 shots/match
4.03 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/374.05 shots/match
3.42 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/374.92 shots/match
51.4%Possessionseason · 38/3745.5%
5.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/374.57 corners/match
3.68 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/375.86 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3711.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3826%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3882%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Bromwich Albion60.4
Hull City25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Bromwich Albion49.3
Hull City54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Bromwich Albion64.6
Hull City10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Bromwich Albion77.1
Hull City43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion43.8
Hull City81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 49%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion64.6
Hull City27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Bromwich Albion58.4
Hull City46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals5/51 xG/match
17 shots/matchShots5/59.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/52.8 shots/match
53.2%Possession5/539.6%
7 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.09 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots10/109.9 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match
50.6%Possession10/1045.3%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

38 / 38 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored38/381.55 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed38/381.47 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals38/381.29 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots38/3711 shots/match
4.03 shots/matchShots on target38/374.05 shots/match
51.4%Possession38/3745.5%
5.42 corners/matchCorners38/374.57 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFouls38/3711.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.58 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.32 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals19/191.14 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots19/1910.2 shots/match
4.68 shots/matchShots on target19/194.37 shots/match
53.5%Possession19/1941.2%
6.47 corners/matchCorners19/193.95 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.8 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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