Championship · 2025Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeEwood ParkFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBlackburn RoversWest Bromwich Albion
Shots11 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target0 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.75 xG/match0.53 xG/match
Possession44%56%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tom Atcheson · Blackburn Rovers · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaryl Dike · West Bromwich Albion · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 62′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 38′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jørgensen · Blackburn Rovers · 67′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTom Atcheson · Blackburn Rovers · 49′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 7′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 30′ · 0.20 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 11 shots, 0 on target, 0.76 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 0.76 xG · West Bromwich Albion 0.54 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, West Bromwich Albion. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.02 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.02 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, West Bromwich Albion.

3 daysRest daysBlackburn Rovers · West Bromwich Albion3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Blackburn Rovers
0Draws
1West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich AlbionBlackburn Rovers · Championship10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Blackburn Rovers favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 7 · 5 too close

0.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 41/411.02 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 41/411.37 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 41/411.21 xG/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 41/411.02 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 40/4113.5 shots/match
11.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 40/4110.6 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 40/414.05 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 40/413.27 shots/match
49%Possessionseason · 40/4151.3%
5.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 40/415.27 corners/match
4.98 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 40/413.78 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 40/4110.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 41/4124%
66%Scoring frequencyseason · 41/4168%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Blackburn Rovers39.6
West Bromwich Albion47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Blackburn Rovers15.9
West Bromwich Albion53.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Blackburn Rovers75.7
West Bromwich Albion67.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Blackburn Rovers35.4
West Bromwich Albion68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers68.8
West Bromwich Albion31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 49%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers64.6
West Bromwich Albion56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Blackburn Rovers43.8
West Bromwich Albion56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.69 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots5/514.8 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
46%Possession5/550.4%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.36 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots10/1014 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/103.7 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/1051.2%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

41 / 41 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored41/411.02 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed41/411.37 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals41/411.21 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots40/4113.5 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on target40/414.05 shots/match
49%Possession40/4151.3%
5.45 corners/matchCorners40/415.27 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls40/4110.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

21 / 21 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored21/210.81 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.48 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.05 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots20/2111.9 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target20/213.48 shots/match
49.2%Possession20/2149.4%
5.85 corners/matchCorners20/214.24 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFouls20/2110.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples41 / 41home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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