PitchMath
Championship · 2025Carrow Road

Norwich City 0–2 Ipswich Town · Championship

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ipswich Town won 0–2.

Shots
159
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.871.97
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ipswich Town beat Norwich City 2–0. Recorded in this match (Norwich City – Ipswich Town): shots 15–9, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.87–1.97, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Norwich City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsNorwich City 15 shots, Ipswich Town 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsNorwich City 3 shots, Ipswich Town 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG1.97 xGNorwich City 0.87 xG, Ipswich Town 1.97 xG
  • Possession67%33%Norwich City 67%, Ipswich Town 33%
  • Corners13 corners1 cornerNorwich City 13 corners, Ipswich Town 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls17 foulsNorwich City 16 fouls, Ipswich Town 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 28′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 31′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenny McLean · Norwich City · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHarry Darling · Norwich City · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Touré · Norwich City · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarry Darling · Norwich City · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalJosé Córdoba · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKenny McLean · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 88′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 16′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 45′ · 0.25 xG · on targetIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 79′ · 0.49 xG · on targetJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 11′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.74 xG. Ipswich Town: 9 shots, 5 on target, 2.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 11′George Hirst · Ipswich Town · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 0.74 xG · Ipswich Town 2.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Norwich City
1Draws
1Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town — Norwich City · Championship3–1
Norwich City — Ipswich Town · Championship1–0
Ipswich Town — Norwich City · Championship2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Norwich City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Norwich City42 matchesIpswich Town40 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored42/40▲ 1.78 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed42/40▲ 1 goal/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals42/40▲ 1.64 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots41/39▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.27 shots/matchShots on target41/39▲ 5.08 shots/match
53.1%Possession41/39● 55.9%
5.07 corners/matchCorners41/39● 5.38 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls41/3911.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples42 / 40home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNorwich CityIpswich Town
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headNorwich City — Ipswich Town
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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