Championship · 2025Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeEwood ParkFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBlackburn RoversCoventry City
Shots7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.88 xG/match1.6 xG/match
Possession30%70%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ryan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEiran Cashin · Blackburn Rovers · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomain Esse · Coventry City · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 4′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 26′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 78′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJoel Latibeaudiere · Coventry City · 4′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYuri Ribeiro · Blackburn Rovers · 35′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 54′ · 0.12 xG · goalBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 84′ · 0.17 xG · goalJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 4′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 44′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 13′ · 0.50 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.00 xG. Coventry City: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ryoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 54′Bobby Thomas · Coventry City · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 1.00 xG · Coventry City 1.45 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Blackburn Rovers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Coventry City. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Blackburn Rovers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Blackburn Rovers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Coventry City.

3 daysRest daysBlackburn Rovers · Coventry City6.31 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversCoventry CityBaseline
Rest days3 days6.31 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Blackburn Rovers
0Draws
1Coventry City
Coventry CityBlackburn Rovers · Championship20

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Blackburn Rovers favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Coventry City in 8 · 6 too close

0.89 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 44/431.98 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 44/431 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 44/431.84 xG/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 44/431.1 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 43/4216.3 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 43/4211.7 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 43/425.48 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 43/423.69 shots/match
48.2%Possessionseason · 43/4255%
5.3 corners/matchCornersseason · 43/425.38 corners/match
4.95 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 43/424.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 43/429.55 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 44/4337%
66%Scoring frequencyseason · 44/4384%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Blackburn Rovers35.4
Coventry City85.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Blackburn Rovers14.5
Coventry City97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Blackburn Rovers70.1
Coventry City79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Blackburn Rovers31.2
Coventry City93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers52.1
Coventry City6.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 49%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers56.2
Coventry City64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Blackburn Rovers36.4
Coventry City66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.65 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/513 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
38.2%Possession5/558.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
7.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.7 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.93 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots10/1015.1 shots/match
2.3 shots/matchShots on target10/105.5 shots/match
43.6%Possession10/1055.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

44 / 43 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored44/431.98 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed44/431 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals44/431.84 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots43/4216.3 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target43/425.48 shots/match
48.2%Possession43/4255%
5.3 corners/matchCorners43/425.38 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls43/429.55 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

22 / 22 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.91 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.18 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.64 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots21/2114.2 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on target21/215.19 shots/match
48.3%Possession21/2152.2%
5.71 corners/matchCorners21/214.62 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFouls21/219.19 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.31 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples44 / 43home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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