PitchMath
Championship · 2025MKM Stadium

Hull City 1–1 Birmingham City · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hull City and Birmingham City drew 1–1.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.930.45
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hull City and Birmingham City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Hull City – Birmingham City): shots 14–11, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.93–0.45, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Birmingham City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Birmingham City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Birmingham City have a visible away split

strong

Birmingham City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.81 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.81 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Birmingham City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Birmingham City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHull City · Birmingham City13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHull CityBirmingham CityBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsHull City 14 shots, Birmingham City 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsHull City 3 shots, Birmingham City 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG0.45 xGHull City 0.93 xG, Birmingham City 0.45 xG
  • Possession44%56%Hull City 44%, Birmingham City 56%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersHull City 2 corners, Birmingham City 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsHull City 9 fouls, Birmingham City 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Phil Neumann · Birmingham City · 17′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAmir Hadžiahmetović · Hull City · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJhon Solís · Birmingham City · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKyle Joseph · Hull City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSemi Ajayi · Hull City · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 32′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 17′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSemi Ajayi · Hull City · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 77′ · 0.10 xG · goalSemi Ajayi · Hull City · 87′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAugust Priske · Birmingham City · 53′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 60′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 24′ · 0.12 xG · goalMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 32′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hull City: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.99 xG. Birmingham City: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Joe Gelhardt · Hull City · 24′Tomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 0.99 xG · Birmingham City 0.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Hull City
1Draws
1Birmingham City
Birmingham City — Hull City · Championship2–3
Hull City — Birmingham City · Championship1–1
Birmingham City — Hull City · Championship0–2
Birmingham City — Hull City · Championship0–1
Hull City — Birmingham City · Championship0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hull City favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hull City43 matchesBirmingham City43 matches
1.51 goals/match ▲Goals scored43/431.21 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed43/43▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals43/431.32 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots42/42▲ 13.7 shots/match
4.02 shots/matchShots on target42/424.1 shots/match
45.8%Possession42/42● 54.6%
4.43 corners/matchCorners42/42● 5.81 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls42/4211.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples43 / 43home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHull CityBirmingham City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headHull City — Birmingham City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required