Championship · 2025Riverside

Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Middlesbrough won 1–0.

Shots
188
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.830.48
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Middlesbrough beat Sheffield Wednesday 1–0. Recorded in this match (Middlesbrough – Sheffield Wednesday): shots 18–8, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.83–0.48, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Middlesbrough's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Middlesbrough's last-five shots average is above their season average.

22.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots22.8 shots/match16.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Middlesbrough.

3.32 days ▲Rest daysMiddlesbrough · Sheffield Wednesday4.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMiddlesbroughSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Rest days3.32 days4.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Middlesbrough show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Middlesbrough's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsMiddlesbrough · Sheffield Wednesday8.53 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMiddlesbroughSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match8.53 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.91 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsMiddlesbrough 18 shots, Sheffield Wednesday 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotMiddlesbrough 4 shots, Sheffield Wednesday 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.83 xG0.48 xGMiddlesbrough 1.83 xG, Sheffield Wednesday 0.48 xG
  • Possession61%39%Middlesbrough 61%, Sheffield Wednesday 39%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerMiddlesbrough 9 corners, Sheffield Wednesday 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls19 foulsMiddlesbrough 10 fouls, Sheffield Wednesday 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Charlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Otegbayo · Sheffield Wednesday · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlan Browne · Middlesbrough · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDael Fry · Middlesbrough · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJarvis Thornton · Sheffield Wednesday · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Chalobah · Sheffield Wednesday · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDael Fry · Middlesbrough · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 72′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDael Fry · Middlesbrough · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Sarmiento · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlan Browne · Middlesbrough · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Silvera · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlan Browne · Middlesbrough · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlan Browne · Middlesbrough · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 55′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDavid Strelec · Middlesbrough · 24′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Grainger · Sheffield Wednesday · 77′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 11′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Middlesbrough: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.78 xG. Sheffield Wednesday: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Morgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 11′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Middlesbrough 1.78 xG · Sheffield Wednesday 0.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Middlesbrough
2Draws
1Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday — Middlesbrough · Championship0–1
Sheffield Wednesday — Middlesbrough · Championship2–1
Middlesbrough — Sheffield Wednesday · Championship3–3
Middlesbrough — Sheffield Wednesday · Championship2–0
Sheffield Wednesday — Middlesbrough · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Middlesbrough favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Middlesbrough44 matchesSheffield Wednesday44 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored44/440.59 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed44/441.91 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals44/440.83 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots43/438.53 shots/match
4.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target43/432.4 shots/match
60.1% ●Possession43/4344.7%
6.98 corners/match ●Corners43/434.3 corners/match
9.58 fouls/matchFouls43/4211.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples44 / 44home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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