PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Planet Group Arena

KAA Gent 1–1 RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KAA Gent and RSC Anderlecht drew 1–1.

Shots
158
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.440.28
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gent and Anderlecht drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Gent – Anderlecht): shots 15–8, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.44–0.28, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gent's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gent's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.49 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.49 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsKAA Gent 15 shots, RSC Anderlecht 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsKAA Gent 3 shots, RSC Anderlecht 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.44 xG0.28 xGKAA Gent 1.44 xG, RSC Anderlecht 0.28 xG
  • Possession64%36%KAA Gent 64%, RSC Anderlecht 36%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersKAA Gent 4 corners, RSC Anderlecht 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsKAA Gent 11 fouls, RSC Anderlecht 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsKAA Gent 3 cards, RSC Anderlecht 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tiago Araújo · Gent · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTristan Degreef · Anderlecht · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHyllarion Goore · Gent · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudwig Augustinsson · Anderlecht · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudwig Augustinsson · Anderlecht · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTibe De Vlieger · Gent · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHyllarion Goore · Gent · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTiago Araújo · Gent · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichał Skóraś · Gent · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTibe De Vlieger · Gent · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMax Dean · Gent · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 33′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAbdelkahar Kadri · Gent · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 14′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIbrahima Cisse · Gent · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHyllarion Goore · Gent · 19′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSiebe Van Der Heyden · Gent · 84′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLeonardo Lopes · Anderlecht · 11′ · 0.10 xG · goalWilfried Kanga · Gent · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Cisse · Gent · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJean-Kévin Duverne · Gent · 44′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gent: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.41 xG. Anderlecht: 9 shots, 6 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jean-Kévin Duverne · Gent · 44′Leonardo Lopes · Anderlecht · 11′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gent 1.41 xG · Anderlecht 0.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KAA Gent
0Draws
4RSC Anderlecht
RSC Anderlecht — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League3–1
KAA Gent — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League4–2
RSC Anderlecht — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League1–0
KAA Gent — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–1
RSC Anderlecht — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KAA Gent favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · RSC Anderlecht in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KAA Gent39 matchesRSC Anderlecht39 matches
1.49 goals/match ▲Goals scored39/391.41 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed39/391.38 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals38/371.44 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots39/39▲ 14.9 shots/match
4.28 shots/matchShots on target39/39▲ 4.77 shots/match
50.1%Possession39/39● 53.8%
4.46 corners/matchCorners39/39● 5.92 corners/match
1.76 cards/matchCards29/312.87 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls39/3913.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples39 / 39home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKAA GentRSC Anderlecht
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKAA Gent — RSC Anderlecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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