PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 1–2 RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RSC Anderlecht won 1–2.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.331.45
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Anderlecht beat KV Mechelen 2–1. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – Anderlecht): shots 18–13, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.33–1.45, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Anderlecht show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Anderlecht's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsKV Mechelen · Anderlecht15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenAnderlechtBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match15 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsKV Mechelen 18 shots, RSC Anderlecht 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsKV Mechelen 5 shots, RSC Anderlecht 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG1.45 xGKV Mechelen 1.33 xG, RSC Anderlecht 1.45 xG
  • Possession47%53%KV Mechelen 47%, RSC Anderlecht 53%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersKV Mechelen 5 corners, RSC Anderlecht 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls19 foulsKV Mechelen 10 fouls, RSC Anderlecht 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards6 cardsKV Mechelen 4 cards, RSC Anderlecht 6 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 75′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBill Antonio · KV Mechelen · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRedouane Halhal · KV Mechelen · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Marsà · KV Mechelen · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTristan Degreef · Anderlecht · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEnric Llansana · Anderlecht · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCoba Da Costa · Anderlecht · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAli Maamar · Anderlecht · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBill Antonio · KV Mechelen · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAli Maamar · Anderlecht · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTristan Degreef · Anderlecht · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMory Konate · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJosé Marsà · KV Mechelen · 58′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 71′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 71′ · 0.13 xG · goalAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 83′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTristan Degreef · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 45′ · 0.17 xG · goalMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 71′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 62′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 62′ · 0.32 xG · goalBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 31′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.34 xG. Anderlecht: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Bouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 45′Mihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 62′Adriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 1.34 xG · Anderlecht 1.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KV Mechelen
1Draws
3RSC Anderlecht
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–0
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–1
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League4–1
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–3
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · RSC Anderlecht in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen35 matchesRSC Anderlecht35 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.49 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed35/351.29 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.51 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 15 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 4.83 shots/match
49.9%Possession35/35● 54.3%
4.69 corners/matchCorners35/35● 6 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCards29/292.83 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls35/3514.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenRSC Anderlecht
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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