PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade du Pays de Charleroi

RC Sporting Charleroi 1–2 Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Standard Liège won 1–2.

Shots
128
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.730.5
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Standard Liege beat Charleroi 2–1. Recorded in this match (Charleroi – Standard Liege): shots 12–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.73–0.5, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charleroi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charleroi's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Standard Liege show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Standard Liege's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsCharleroi · Standard Liege9.46 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharleroiStandard LiegeBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match9.46 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 12 shots, Standard Liège 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 4 shots, Standard Liège 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG0.5 xGRC Sporting Charleroi 1.73 xG, Standard Liège 0.5 xG
  • Possession59%41%RC Sporting Charleroi 59%, Standard Liège 41%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersRC Sporting Charleroi 6 corners, Standard Liège 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsRC Sporting Charleroi 11 fouls, Standard Liège 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardRC Sporting Charleroi 3 cards, Standard Liège 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tobias Mohr · Standard Liege · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCasper Nielsen · Standard Liege · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMardochee Nzita · Charleroi · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernier · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEtienne Camara · Charleroi · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosué Homawoo · Standard Liege · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Charleroi · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTobias Mohr · Standard Liege · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBernard Nguene · Standard Liege · 68′ · 0.07 xG · goalAntoine Bernier · Charleroi · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 73′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernier · Charleroi · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJosué Homawoo · Standard Liege · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHenry Lawrence · Standard Liege · 47′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · Charleroi · 56′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernier · Charleroi · 62′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charleroi: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.67 xG. Standard Liege: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Antoine Bernier · Charleroi · 62′Bernard Nguene · Standard Liege · 68′Tobias Mohr · Standard Liege · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charleroi 1.67 xG · Standard Liege 0.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RC Sporting Charleroi
1Draws
1Standard Liège
RC Sporting Charleroi — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League2–0
Standard Liège — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League3–1
Standard Liège — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League0–1
RC Sporting Charleroi — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League1–0
RC Sporting Charleroi — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Sporting Charleroi favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Standard Liège in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Sporting Charleroi35 matchesStandard Liège35 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351 goal/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.05 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots35/359.46 shots/match
4.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/353.31 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession35/3544.4%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners35/354.14 corners/match
2.21 cards/matchCards29/302.43 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls35/3510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC Sporting CharleroiStandard Liège
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Sporting Charleroi — Standard Liège
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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