PitchMath
Super League · 2026Wuhan Sports Centre

Wuhan Three Towns 1–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · Super League

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Wuhan Three Towns won 1–0.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.861.59
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wuhan Three Towns beat Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Wuhan Three Towns – Chongqing Tonglianglong FC): shots 12–14, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.86–1.59, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC have a visible away split

moderate

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.2 shots/match8.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsWuhan Three Towns · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC8.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWuhan Three TownsChongqing Tonglianglong FCBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match8.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsWuhan Three Towns 12 shots, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsWuhan Three Towns 4 shots, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG1.59 xGWuhan Three Towns 0.86 xG, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1.59 xG
  • Possession38%62%Wuhan Three Towns 38%, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 62%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersWuhan Three Towns 5 corners, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsWuhan Three Towns 10 fouls, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Wuhan Three Towns
0Draws
1Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wuhan Three Towns favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wuhan Three Towns19 matchesChongqing Tonglianglong FC20 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/201.15 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed19/20▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/150.92 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots19/208.9 shots/match
4.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/203.3 shots/match
45.5%Possession19/20● 48.4%
4.79 corners/match ●Corners19/203.75 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls19/2012.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWuhan Three TownsChongqing Tonglianglong FC
CompetitionSuper League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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