PitchMath
Super League · 2026Olympic Sports Centre Stadium

Liaoning Tieren FC 0–1 Qingdao West Coast · Super League

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Qingdao West Coast won 0–1.

Shots
816
Shots on target
15
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Qingdao West Coast beat Liaoning Tieren FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Liaoning Tieren FC – Qingdao West Coast): shots 8–16, shots on target 1–5, possession 42%–58%, corners 2–10. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Liaoning Tieren FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Liaoning Tieren FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liaoning Tieren FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.9% ●PossessionLiaoning Tieren FC · Qingdao West Coast43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLiaoning Tieren FCQingdao West CoastBaseline
Possession51.9%43.7%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsLiaoning Tieren FC 8 shots, Qingdao West Coast 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsLiaoning Tieren FC 1 shot, Qingdao West Coast 5 shots
  • Possession42%58%Liaoning Tieren FC 42%, Qingdao West Coast 58%
  • Corners2 corners10 cornersLiaoning Tieren FC 2 corners, Qingdao West Coast 10 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls18 foulsLiaoning Tieren FC 10 fouls, Qingdao West Coast 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Liaoning Tieren FC
1Draws
0Qingdao West Coast
Qingdao West Coast — Liaoning Tieren FC · Super League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liaoning Tieren FC favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Qingdao West Coast in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liaoning Tieren FC19 matchesQingdao West Coast20 matches
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/201.2 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed19/20▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/101.18 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots19/2010.9 shots/match
4.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/203.65 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession19/2043.7%
4.05 corners/matchCorners19/20● 4.45 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls19/2014.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiaoning Tieren FCQingdao West Coast
CompetitionSuper League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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