PitchMath
Super League · 2026Beijing Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan 1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Chengdu Rongcheng won 1–2.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.031.08
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chengdu Better City beat Beijing Guoan 2–1. Recorded in this match (Beijing Guoan – Chengdu Better City): shots 10–12, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.03–1.08, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Beijing Guoan show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Beijing Guoan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBeijing Guoan · Chengdu Better City16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBeijing GuoanChengdu Better CityBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match8.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsBeijing Guoan 10 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsBeijing Guoan 2 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG1.08 xGBeijing Guoan 1.03 xG, Chengdu Rongcheng 1.08 xG
  • Possession53%47%Beijing Guoan 53%, Chengdu Rongcheng 47%
  • Corners2 corners10 cornersBeijing Guoan 2 corners, Chengdu Rongcheng 10 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsBeijing Guoan 13 fouls, Chengdu Rongcheng 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsBeijing Guoan 1 card, Chengdu Rongcheng 4 cards
  • Passes399 passes339 passesBeijing Guoan 399 passes, Chengdu Rongcheng 339 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%75%Beijing Guoan 77%, Chengdu Rongcheng 75%
  • Shots inside box4 shots8 shotsBeijing Guoan 4 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksBeijing Guoan 3 blocks, Chengdu Rongcheng 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves1 saveBeijing Guoan 3 saves, Chengdu Rongcheng 1 save
  • Offsides5 offsides3 offsidesBeijing Guoan 5 offsides, Chengdu Rongcheng 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Beijing Guoan
2Draws
2Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng — Beijing Guoan · Super League2–0
Beijing Guoan — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–1
Chengdu Rongcheng — Beijing Guoan · Super League2–2
Beijing Guoan — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League2–1
Beijing Guoan — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Beijing Guoan favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Chengdu Rongcheng in 9 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Beijing Guoan5 matchesChengdu Rongcheng5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 3.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals5/4▲ 2.41 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 16.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6.8 shots/match
56.2% ●Possession5/556%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 8.4 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBeijing GuoanChengdu Rongcheng
CompetitionSuper League
Head-to-headBeijing Guoan — Chengdu Rongcheng
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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