PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ponte Preta 1–0 América Mineiro · Serie B

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: america Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

America Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

America Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.5 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
0Draws
2América Mineiro
Ponte Preta — América Mineiro · Serie B0–2
América Mineiro — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 3 of 4 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta6 matchesAmérica Mineiro6 matches
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShare of matches scored in rankingFewest goals allowed per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headPonte Preta — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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