PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Ulsan HD 2–1 Incheon United · K League 1

2–1Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Ulsan HD won 2–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: ulsan HD's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ulsan HD, Incheon United. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Ulsan HD's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ulsan HD's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.5 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ulsan HD, Incheon United.

3.88 days ▲Rest daysUlsan HD · Incheon United3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricUlsan HDIncheon UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.88 days3.88 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ulsan HD
2Draws
1Incheon United
Ulsan HD — Incheon United · K League 11–2
Incheon United — Ulsan HD · K League 11–2
Ulsan HD — Incheon United · Korean FA Cup3–0
Incheon United — Ulsan HD · K League 10–0
Incheon United — Ulsan HD · K League 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ulsan HD favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Incheon United in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ulsan HD28 matchesIncheon United27 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/271.26 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed28/27▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/151.64 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots22/2111.7 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/214.14 shots/match
46.3%Possession22/21● 53.1%
4.36 corners/matchCorners22/21● 4.52 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness4 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 07:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUlsan HDIncheon United
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headUlsan HD — Incheon United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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