K League 1 · 2026

Ulsan HD 1–0 FC Seoul · K League 1

1–0Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Ulsan HD won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: FC Seoul's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: FC Seoul have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

FC Seoul's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Seoul's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.6 goals/match1.96 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ulsan HD, FC Seoul.

3.02 days ▲Rest daysUlsan HD · FC Seoul3.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricUlsan HDFC SeoulBaseline
Rest days3.02 days3.02 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Seoul have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.3%PossessionUlsan HD · FC Seoul● 56.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUlsan HDFC SeoulBaseline
Possession46.3%56.4%51.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ulsan HD
1Draws
3FC Seoul
FC Seoul — Ulsan HD · K League 11–3
Ulsan HD — FC Seoul · K League 11–4
FC Seoul — Ulsan HD · K League 13–2
FC Seoul — Ulsan HD · K League 11–0
Ulsan HD — FC Seoul · K League 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ulsan HD favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FC Seoul in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ulsan HD27 matchesFC Seoul27 matches
1.52 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.96 goals/match
1.37 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.78 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/141.43 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots22/2212.3 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.05 shots/match
46.3%Possession22/22● 56.4%
4.36 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.09 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2010.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness3 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 8 Sept 2026, 10:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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