PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United · K League 1

1–0Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

FC Seoul won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: FC Seoul's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Seoul, Incheon United. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

FC Seoul's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Seoul's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Seoul, Incheon United.

5.98 days ▲Rest daysFC Seoul · Incheon United5.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC SeoulIncheon UnitedBaseline
Rest days5.98 days5.98 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4FC Seoul
1Draws
0Incheon United
FC Seoul — Incheon United · K League 11–0
Incheon United — FC Seoul · K League 11–2
Incheon United — FC Seoul · K League 10–1
Incheon United — FC Seoul · K League 11–2
FC Seoul — Incheon United · K League 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Seoul favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Incheon United in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Seoul26 matchesIncheon United25 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/251.28 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/251.12 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals14/15▲ 1.64 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots22/2111.7 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target22/214.14 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession22/2153.1%
5.09 corners/match ●Corners22/214.52 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2110.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness6 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SeoulIncheon United
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headFC Seoul — Incheon United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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