K League 1 · 2026

Incheon United 2–1 Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 1

2–1Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Incheon United won 2–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: incheon United have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: bucheon FC 1995's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Bucheon FC 1995's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bucheon FC 1995's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Incheon United, Bucheon FC 1995.

3.02 days ▲Rest daysIncheon United · Bucheon FC 19953.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIncheon UnitedBucheon FC 1995Baseline
Rest days3.02 days3.02 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bucheon FC 1995 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bucheon FC 1995's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsIncheon United · Bucheon FC 199510 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIncheon UnitedBucheon FC 1995Baseline
Shots11.7 shots/match10 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.62 shots/match15.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Incheon United
2Draws
0Bucheon FC 1995
Incheon United — Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 11–1
Bucheon FC 1995 — Incheon United · K League 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Incheon United favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Bucheon FC 1995 in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Incheon United26 matchesBucheon FC 199527 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/271.04 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/271.26 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/141.05 xG/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots21/2210 shots/match
4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/223.32 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession21/2239.2%
4.52 corners/match ●Corners21/223.59 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness3 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 8 Sept 2026, 10:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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