PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026Seoul World Cup Stadium

FC Seoul 1–3 Ulsan HD · K League 1

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ulsan HD won 1–3.

Shots
198
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.681.31
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ulsan Hyundai FC beat FC Seoul 3–1. Recorded in this match (FC Seoul – Ulsan Hyundai FC): shots 19–8, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.68–1.31, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Seoul.

4 days ▲Rest daysFC Seoul · Ulsan Hyundai FC5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC SeoulUlsan Hyundai FCBaseline
Rest days4 days5 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Seoul have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.4% ●PossessionFC Seoul · Ulsan Hyundai FC46.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC SeoulUlsan Hyundai FCBaseline
Possession57.4%46.1%51.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsFC Seoul 19 shots, Ulsan HD 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsFC Seoul 2 shots, Ulsan HD 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG1.31 xGFC Seoul 1.68 xG, Ulsan HD 1.31 xG
  • Possession70%30%FC Seoul 70%, Ulsan HD 30%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersFC Seoul 8 corners, Ulsan HD 3 corners

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FC Seoul
2Draws
0Ulsan HD
Ulsan HD — FC Seoul · K League 11–4
FC Seoul — Ulsan HD · K League 13–2
FC Seoul — Ulsan HD · K League 11–0
Ulsan HD — FC Seoul · K League 10–0
FC Seoul — Ulsan HD · K League 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Seoul favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Ulsan HD in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Seoul20 matchesUlsan HD20 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.5 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.45 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals13/12▲ 1.7 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 15.1 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 5.1 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession20/2046.1%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners20/204.55 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1910.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SeoulUlsan HD
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headFC Seoul — Ulsan HD
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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