K League 1 · 2026Gwangju Football Stadium

Gwangju FC 1–2 Jeju SK · K League 1

1–2Full-time analysis

Jeju SK

LDDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Jeju SK won 1–2.

Shots
831
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.12.22
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Jeju United FC beat Gwangju FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Gwangju FC – Jeju United FC): shots 8–31, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.1–2.22, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gwangju FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gwangju FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.55 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Gwangju FC, Jeju United FC.

4 days ▲Rest daysGwangju FC · Jeju United FC5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGwangju FCJeju United FCBaseline
Rest days4 days5 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Jeju United FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Jeju United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.1 shots/match ▲ShotsGwangju FC · Jeju United FC13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGwangju FCJeju United FCBaseline
Shots8.1 shots/match13 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots31 shotsGwangju FC 8 shots, Jeju SK 31 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsGwangju FC 4 shots, Jeju SK 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG2.22 xGGwangju FC 1.1 xG, Jeju SK 2.22 xG
  • Possession42%58%Gwangju FC 42%, Jeju SK 58%
  • Corners4 corners11 cornersGwangju FC 4 corners, Jeju SK 11 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsGwangju FC 9 fouls, Jeju SK 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Gwangju FC
1Draws
0Jeju SK
Jeju SK — Gwangju FC · K League 10–0
Gwangju FC — Jeju SK · K League 12–0
Jeju SK — Gwangju FC · K League 10–1
Jeju SK — Gwangju FC · K League 10–1
Gwangju FC — Jeju SK · K League 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gwangju FC favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Jeju SK in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gwangju FC20 matchesJeju SK20 matches
0.55 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 0.95 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1 goal/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals14/11▲ 1.1 xG/match
8.1 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 13 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 4.25 shots/match
45.6%Possession20/20● 45.8%
3 corners/matchCorners20/20● 3.9 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls20/1812.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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