K League 1 · 2026Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Ulsan HD 1–2 Incheon United · K League 1

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Incheon United won 1–2.

Shots
921
Shots on target
37
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Incheon United beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ulsan Hyundai FC – Incheon United): shots 9–21, shots on target 3–7, possession 45%–55%, corners 2–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ulsan Hyundai FC, Incheon United.

3 days ▲Rest daysUlsan Hyundai FC · Incheon United3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricUlsan Hyundai FCIncheon UnitedBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ulsan Hyundai FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ulsan Hyundai FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.42 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots21 shotsUlsan HD 9 shots, Incheon United 21 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsUlsan HD 3 shots, Incheon United 7 shots
  • Possession45%55%Ulsan HD 45%, Incheon United 55%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersUlsan HD 2 corners, Incheon United 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsUlsan HD 9 fouls, Incheon United 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ulsan HD
3Draws
0Incheon United
Incheon United — Ulsan HD · K League 11–2
Ulsan HD — Incheon United · Korean FA Cup3–0
Incheon United — Ulsan HD · K League 10–0
Incheon United — Ulsan HD · K League 11–1
Ulsan HD — Incheon United · K League 13–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ulsan HD favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Incheon United in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ulsan HD19 matchesIncheon United19 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.26 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/131.63 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots19/1911.6 shots/match
5.16 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.05 shots/match
46.9%Possession19/19● 52.4%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners19/194.32 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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