PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026Sungui Arena Park

Incheon United 1–0 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors · K League 1

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Incheon United won 1–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.591.47
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Incheon United beat Jeonbuk Motors 1–0. Recorded in this match (Incheon United – Jeonbuk Motors): shots 12–12, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.59–1.47, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jeonbuk Motors's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jeonbuk Motors's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.39 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsIncheon United 12 shots, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsIncheon United 7 shots, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.59 xG1.47 xGIncheon United 1.59 xG, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1.47 xG
  • Possession42%58%Incheon United 42%, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 58%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersIncheon United 2 corners, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsIncheon United 12 fouls, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Incheon United
2Draws
1Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors — Incheon United · K League 11–2
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors — Incheon United · K League 10–0
Incheon United — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors · K League 10–1
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors — Incheon United · K League 12–2
Incheon United — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors · K League 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Incheon United favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Incheon United18 matchesJeonbuk Hyundai Motors18 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.39 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/91.37 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 5.17 shots/match
52.3%Possession18/18● 57.6%
4.44 corners/matchCorners18/18● 4.5 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIncheon UnitedJeonbuk Hyundai Motors
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headIncheon United — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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